It is extraordinary unlikely that Obama can win in ’12 withoutstrong support from Independents and progressives, unless the Republicans resurrect Christine O’Donnell. The little legislative headway Obama has made with his right wing outreach program will tower against the votes that will accrue to him in ’12 from the right wing of the Republican party.
Based on his history, not his rhetoric, we can expect Obama to stand up for nothing; he is a triangulator in the Clinton tradition. Obama’s obsessed with bi-partisanship with right wing Republicans who think he is a Muslim, a communist or other things that lose definition in a fog of right wing thinking and buzz words, but certainly aren’t complimentary. Obama has made his way because he is a charming, very like-able fellow but he erred in assuming he would charm the right wing of the Republican Party. He hasn’t and he won’t, but he has alienated his core support. The people who made it possible for him to overcome a certain Clinton victory did not do so to expand endless wars, to bail out McDonald’s, to endorse the Bush diminishment of civil liberty, to totally ignore the social issues that compromise our ability to be competitive in the global economy and most important to fail to understand the problems faced by our schools. Signs of understanding could start with a requirement that class size in k-6 to be 12. Obama has done nothing to address the problems in our criminal justice system that leaves prison guards facing the wrong direction and failing to prevent people from escaping social conditions by breaking into expensive prisons. In ’12 the most Obama can hope for is that the Republicans shoot themselves in the foot and nominate Christine O’Donnell.
Obama’s policies of inclusion may sound good in academic circles, but the reality is that Obama’s supporters didn’t back him to put face on some of the people who they disdain.
Civil liberties were downsized by The Oily One and Obama seems to have distanced himself from the civil rights issue. For him that may be his biggest mistake since his support comes from that segment of the population where civil rights are a core issue,
Senator Sanders for President in ’12